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In this article we will look at a free system that's used by some of the world's top traders and it's proven to make profits. If you use this system you will beat 99% of the forex trading systems sold by vendors online, so let's look at it.
The forex trading system were going to look at was devised by a trading legend - Richard Donchian who is considered the father of modern trend following and is considered a trading legend and has influenced such great traders as Richard Dennis and countless others.
The system is Richard Donchian's 4 week rule.
He originally devised it to trade commodities in the seventies but it's very useful for forex trading because it works well in trending markets and forex markets are great for long term trends.
The system is incredibly simple but don't let that put you off, it makes money!
The system is very robust and based on timeless logic.
It's a well known fact that the best forex trading systems are simple, as they are more robust than complicated ones that have too many elements to break.
Here are the rules:
Close short positions and go take a long position when a price exceeds the highs of the previous 4 weeks. 2) Close long positions and take a short position when a price falls below the lows of the previous 4 weeks.
Thats it!
Now the above will work very well in any trending market but in sideways markets it will get chopped about so you may want to consider a filter to take this into account.
The filter is to enter on the 4 week rule - but exit the position on a shorter time frame and go flat. 1 or 2 week cycles could be used for this; you would then simply re enter on the next 4 week signal.
Now you can test the above system and you will see it works but most traders wont bother using it - Why? Because it takes tremendous discipline to execute it and it's not a system that is particularly worried about price entry levels and most traders are obsessed with this.
It's also very often buying breakouts and most traders hate doing this because they would rather wait for the pullback, this is despite the fact most major trends start from new market highs NOT market lows.
Another problem is traders think it's too simple and prefer trendy systems which are more complicated (which don't work) this system doesn't have the buzz factor of being based on artificial intelligence or a neural network despite the fact it will beat most if not all of them longer term.
The pro traders however know its value and many systems by the great traders over the years have used it as a base - including the legendary turtle traders, who made $100 million in 4 years, with no prior trading experience.
So yes it is simple but that doesn't mean it doesn't work it does.
Test it and you will see, so now you have a free forex trading system which since inception, has made traders hundreds of millions of dollars and could make some profits for you to.
If you want to find a forex trading system that works then you need to look at one key fact to determine if it will give you forex trading profits - so here it is...
Fact: Well over 95% of the forex trading systems sold on the net have never been traded and carry the disclaimer below, read it carefully:
"CFTC RULE 4.41 - Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown".
The vast majority of forex trading systems on the net carry this disclaimer and it really is of no use in telling you if the system will make money.
Let's face reality - anyone can make profits simulating in hindsight knowing the closing prices but we don't have that luxury when we trade! You also have to think that if a vendor doesn't have the confidence to trade it himself why should you?
Today anyone can sell a forex trading system easily online and make money not from the system itself - but by using clever advertising copy to appeal to greedy and naïve investors and vendors know and do this.
If you want to make money from a forex trading system try and find one with a real track record, that's been traded and ask the vendor some questions about his forex trading strategy - if it's a marketing company only you won't get a reply!
Forex trading is not as easy as buying a mechanical trading system from a vendor following the signals and piling up big profits - life is simply not like that.
If you find a forex trading system with a track record make sure your comfortable with the drawdown and look at the worst peak to valley drawdown ( if you joined at the worst possible time ) and be prepared for that loss.
While you can follow a forex trading system to make money by far the best way to make profits is to build your own. While this may sound daunting its not and you can put together a simple robust method for currency trading success in a few weeks.
A further advantage of developing your own trading system is you will know how it works have confidence in it and that will give you the discipline to trade it through losing periods.
Forex trend following can be very profitable and you can pile up huge gains - but you need to have the mental discipline and confidence to follow the trends. While you would think most traders could do this - they can't.
It's a fact that long term trends exist in forex trading and they last for months, or even years yet, most traders simply cannot make profits from them. This is not because they don't have the right forex trading system -but because they don't have the right mindset.
We all want to make big profits don't we?
Yes we do, but that's very different to accepting them. Let's look at a typical scenario.
A common scenario is:
A trader spots a trend and gets into it, the trend is still going his way but there are swings back into his open equity, reducing his profit. As his profit gets bigger, the more tempted he is to take it before it gets away and the more the price swings, the more the temptation to bank it.
In the end the trader snatches the profit, or moves his stop too quickly - he is out and the trend continues in the direction he thought but hes not in it
Forex trends always seem to last longer than most traders expect and if you get into one, you need to hold it and this means keeping 3 key points in mind:
1. If the trend is strong and you're confident it will continue, hold you stop back and trail it outside of normal volatility. 2. Accept that you are going to have short term price swings against you, that's simply the nature of trading - so get used to losing short term open equity and keep your eyes on the bigger prize.
3. You need to accept that when the trend does change you are going to give back a big chunk as it turns, because you are trailing a wide stop. Keep in mind you are not after perfection, you want to make money. Keep in mind if you caught just 50% of every major forex trend, you would make a lot of money.
Long term trends are always there because they reflect the underlying economic health of a country and these economic cycles last for many months or even years. If you spot and hold long term trends, you could make big profits and only trade a few times a year!
Many traders make the mistake of trading too frequently and protecting their positions so much with tight or close trailing stops that they end up making no money.
By trying to reduce risk they actually create it.
Don't make the same mistake - big profits are made trend following the currencies and if you learn to have the discipline to hold trends, take dips in open equity and take calculated risks at the right time, you will enjoy currency trading success and have the opportunity to enjoy some great profit potential.